Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.398625 0.458941 0.522186 0.593166 0.670331 0.751414 0.842786
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.308346 0.390633 0.482152 0.590375 0.713758 0.849008 1.007432
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.255810 0.354100 0.469366 0.611889 0.780812 0.972226 1.203102
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.202829 0.308238 0.438734 0.607268 0.814416 1.056303 1.355669
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.175552 0.289675 0.437673 0.635753 0.886327 1.185753 1.563562
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.144157 0.260409 0.418837 0.638786 0.925100 1.274975 1.724616
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.118975 0.235537 0.402322 0.642006 0.962274 1.361533 1.882955
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.102006 0.219943 0.396306 0.657497 1.014327 1.466601 2.065070
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.089218 0.208694 0.394826 0.678026 1.072507 1.579685 2.258331
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.078181 0.198405 0.393328 0.697554 1.128985 1.690907 2.450371
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.064264 0.180355 0.377792 0.695168 1.154474 1.761404 2.590797
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.055204 0.169642 0.372560 0.706972 1.199106 1.857095 2.764269
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.043986 0.152426 0.355257 0.699960 1.217603 1.919428 2.897180
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.032765 0.132047 0.330043 0.678647 1.214150 1.951437 2.990311
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.027610 0.124467 0.326629 0.691271 1.259948 2.050860 3.173541
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.020810 0.110310 0.309240 0.679773 1.269123 2.099480 3.289249
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.018564 0.108272 0.314871 0.706501 1.336007 2.229049 3.514944
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.014583 0.099355 0.305701 0.707378 1.363243 2.303125 3.666237
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.011387 0.091492 0.297642 0.709400 1.391829 2.379103 3.820573
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.009509 0.087585 0.297503 0.725093 1.441725 2.485801 4.017748
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.008186 0.085296 0.300603 0.746477 1.500721 2.605989 4.234299
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.006991 0.082942 0.303253 0.766976 1.558538 2.725012 4.450198
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.005102 0.075721 0.293638 0.764242 1.578895 2.789794 4.591380